ScaryDream · Polymarket wallet 0xd8e5…b808

Wallet snapshot

ScaryDream has made 618 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $310K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and sports (10%). On 50 resolved markets the win rate is 66%, lifetime P&L -$128. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes · $87 · 5¢ → 3¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Yes · $62 · 17¢ → 8¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes · $28 · 15¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?Yes · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Yes · +$4 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes · +$82 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes · +$420 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$4 · Sep 29, 2026
• Trump renames AI by September 30?No · -$104 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?No · +$12 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No · +$24 · Sep 15, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.