Melodic-Salmon · Polymarket wallet 0x0c2c…dce3

Wallet snapshot

Melodic-Salmon has made 2,988 trades on Polymarket across 690 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (52%) and sports (33%). On 632 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$1,188. It holds 46 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $270 · 54¢ → 89¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $233 · 59¢ → 86¢
• Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No · $228 · 55¢ → 86¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $214 · 83¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $187 · 39¢ → 56¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $118 · 59¢ → 86¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No · $104 · 64¢ → 67¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $90 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $81 · 74¢ → 84¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No · $70 · 49¢ → 50¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes · -$110 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Sep 15, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No · +$15 · Sep 15, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$75 · Sep 9, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No · +$5 · Sep 8, 2026

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