mm4ker · Polymarket wallet 0x8c57…f939

Wallet snapshot

mm4ker has made 3,279 trades on Polymarket across 382 markets, $1.3M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (52%) and sports (20%). On 353 resolved markets the win rate is 69.7%, lifetime P&L +$49K. It holds 27 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran leadership change by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $16K · 85¢ → 89¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $5,802 · 73¢ → 85¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $4,330 · 73¢ → 76¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes · $3,544 · 28¢ → 98¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $3,259 · 81¢ → 74¢
• Iran leadership change by October 31?No · $2,830 · 87¢ → 99¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $2,659 · 80¢ → 95¢
• Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes · $2,206 · 74¢ → 99¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1,398 · 50¢ → 14¢
• Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes · $1,074 · 86¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No · +$1,071 · Oct 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$391 · Oct 1, 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026?No · -$1,033 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$112 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$7,682 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes · -$261 · Sep 7, 2026
• Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

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