Geopolitics135 days left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$29.8K
585 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 138 traders
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $5.58M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs26 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%
+2 new YES$25+2 new NO$146
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.2K is directional: YES $529·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$665(-33.7%)
Whales
12
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·1,769.9 shares·also $286 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-720
$-720INV $1.2K · WR 58.7%
T
Trading4Fridge🥈
Entry 22¢·1,312.5 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $286 · WR 57.5%
T
Te0n2🥉hedged
Entry 35¢·469.9 shares·also $322 on NO
Invested
$163
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $163 · WR 66.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 22¢·737.1 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $162 · WR 55.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 31¢·201 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $62 · WR 72.1%
4
0x4e84ce15...
Entry 27¢·112.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 60.0%
G
gesst
Entry 25¢·54.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 69.7%
M
Malganis
Entry 27¢·50 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $13 · WR 75.0%
N
NellyDora
Entry 38¢·34.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 55.6%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 27¢·40 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $11 · WR 60.7%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+29.7%)
Whales
26
K
KrackenSruster🥇
Entry 67¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $1.3K · WR 66.0%
N
Needy-Retirement🥈
Entry 71¢·1,417.5 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $1000 · WR 64.5%
C
Car🥉
Entry 78¢·1,055 shares
Invested
$826
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $826 · WR 65.0%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 61¢·529.9 shares·also $163 on YES
Invested
$322
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $322 · WR 66.9%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 16¢·1,769.9 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$286
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$1015
+$1015INV $286 · WR 58.7%
G
Gluckyklucky
Entry 47¢·494.8 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $233 · WR 81.6%
N
newnewuser
Entry 70¢·287.8 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $203 · WR 61.7%
E
Eia
Entry 72¢·58.5 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $42 · WR 61.8%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 78¢·48 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $37 · WR 64.7%
E
emmanuelgoldstein
Entry 74¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 26
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