Geopolitics89 days left
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES Price
88ยข
88% implied
NO Price
12ยข
12% implied
Volume
$6.64M
81,670 trades
Smart Whales
721
of 5,468 traders ยท 6 on both sides
Iran leader end of 2026?
40 MARKETS ยท $39.49M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
405 YESvs322 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars ยท 280 YES vs 107 NO taking a side ยท 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%ยท net of hedges
+24 new YES$20.4K+10 new NO$490
$911 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers โ left out of momentum
7 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$83 of $323.7K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $311.8KยทNO $11.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$359.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$76.5K(+21.3%)
Whales
405
C
classifiedโProven๐ฅ
Entry 66ยขยท83,591.4 shares
Invested
$55.3K
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$17593
+$17593INV $55.3K ยท WR 82.9%
M
MEPP๐ฅ
Entry 77ยขยท50,747.8 shares
Invested
$39.2K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$4979
+$4979INV $39.2K ยท WR 64.2%
G
GoriIIa๐ฅ
Entry 83ยขยท24,213.7 shares
Invested
$20.0K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$1112
+$1112INV $20.0K ยท WR 71.8%
L
Llalalala
Entry 84ยขยท21,778 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$708
+$708INV $18.3K ยท WR 65.8%
Y
yungstalinhedged
Entry 48ยขยท36,508.9 sharesยทalso $6.2K on NO
Invested
$17.4K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$14558
+$14558INV $17.4K ยท WR 60.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 77ยขยท16,576.1 shares
Invested
$12.8K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1659
+$1659INV $12.8K ยท WR 72.1%
C
cocos228
Entry 65ยขยท18,915.4 shares
Invested
$12.4K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$4124
+$4124INV $12.4K ยท WR 68.5%
V
Valen9
Entry 86ยขยท10,149.8 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $8.8K ยท WR 61.4%
J
JJo
Entry 82ยขยท9,369.7 shares
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$480
+$480INV $7.7K ยท WR 76.7%
D
denizzโProven
Entry 65ยขยท11,238.2 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$2472
+$2472INV $7.3K ยท WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 405
NO Team
Total Invested
$123.0K
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$45.2K(-36.8%)
Whales
322
N
NyetRisk๐ฅ
Entry 82ยขยท17,957 shares
Invested
$14.7K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-12440
$-12440INV $14.7K ยท WR 87.3%
H
hideo๐ฅ
Entry 96ยขยท12,546.5 shares
Invested
$12.1K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-10495
$-10495INV $12.1K ยท WR 75.2%
U
ULYSSES18๐ฅ
Entry 84ยขยท7,593.4 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-5418
$-5418INV $6.4K ยท WR 83.1%
Y
yungstalinhedged
Entry 27ยขยท23,096.3 sharesยทalso $17.4K on YES
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-3361
$-3361INV $6.2K ยท WR 60.4%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 73ยขยท7,455.1 sharesยทalso $1.7K on YES
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-4548
$-4548INV $5.5K ยท WR 58.8%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 54ยขยท5,631.5 sharesยทalso $1 on YES
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-2300
$-2300INV $3.0K ยท WR 69.4%
B
BreadGet
Entry 31ยขยท6,760.2 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1234
$-1234INV $2.1K ยท WR 55.3%
C
Clear-Gnu
Entry 66ยขยท2,318 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1241
$-1241INV $1.5K ยท WR 65.2%
D
debasedโProven
Entry 27ยขยท3,493.7 shares
Invested
$953
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-504
$-504INV $953 ยท WR 65.9%
S
SupDekel
Entry 58ยขยท1,003.9 shares
Invested
$587
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-458
$-458INV $587 ยท WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 322
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