Geopolitics89 days left
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$925.5K
7,412 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 1,290 traders
Iran leader end of 2026?
40 MARKETS ยท $39.50M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs52 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars ยท 15 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%ยท net of hedges
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$13
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $426 is directional: YES $293ยทNO $133YES Team
Total Invested
$953
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$898(-94.2%)
Whales
24
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅhedged
Entry 99ยขยท663.8 sharesยทalso $49 on NO
Invested
$655
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-653
$-653INV $655 ยท WR 57.8%
E
Eatpraylove๐ฅ
Entry 3ยขยท5,277.9 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $137 ยท WR 72.7%
P
paaletee๐ฅ
Entry 3ยขยท3,012.9 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $75 ยท WR 64.1%
B
bearbees2
Entry 4ยขยท1,200 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $44 ยท WR 87.2%
B
BikesarethebestโProven
Entry 2ยขยท595.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $14 ยท WR 56.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 1ยขยท533.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 ยท WR 68.6%
C
Conscious-Pigeon
Entry 4ยขยท133.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 55.2%
F
frant1c
Entry 1ยขยท267.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 ยท WR 71.6%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 1ยขยท253.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 ยท WR 87.6%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 1ยขยท200 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 ยท WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.9K
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$29.3K(+296.4%)
Whales
52
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 89ยขยท3,841.8 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$418
+$418INV $3.4K ยท WR 72.1%
B
Bigggggggg๐ฅ
Entry 45ยขยท4,584.5 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2493
+$2493INV $2.1K ยท WR 85.7%
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 87ยขยท684.2 shares
Invested
$596
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $596 ยท WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 77ยขยท773 shares
Invested
$594
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $594 ยท WR 88.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 99ยขยท490 shares
Invested
$484
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $484 ยท WR 87.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 61ยขยท421.4 shares
Invested
$257
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $257 ยท WR 83.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98ยขยท261 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $255 ยท WR 85.9%
N
NyetRisk
Entry 1ยขยท19,395.1 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$19087
+$19087INV $240 ยท WR 87.3%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 46ยขยท485.3 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$258
+$258INV $225 ยท WR 86.7%
B
betterfasterstronger
Entry 4ยขยท5,134.3 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$4906
+$4906INV $210 ยท WR 89.5%
Showing top 10 of 52
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