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Geopolitics88 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3ยข
3% implied
NO Price
97ยข
97% implied
Volume
$693.0K
10,915 trades
Smart Whales
157
of 2,336 traders ยท 2 on both sides

Iran leader end of 2026?

40 MARKETS ยท $39.49M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

38 YESvs121 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 15 YES vs 68 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%ยท net of hedges
+3 new YES$6+10 new NO$308
$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$17 of $29.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $80ยทNO $29.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$20.4K
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$18.0K(-87.9%)
Whales
38
A
AngryRhino๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 98ยขยท14,617.5 shares
$-13884INV $14.3K ยท WR 66.4%
R
RememberAmalekProven๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 103ยขยท2,021.8 shares
$-2033INV $2.1K ยท WR 64.5%
Z
Zarshka๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 86ยขยท1,201.6 shares
$-1001INV $1.0K ยท WR 62.3%
P
paddaa
Entry 98ยขยท963.7 shares
$-914INV $940 ยท WR 61.1%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 7ยขยท2,399 sharesยทalso $2.1K on NO
$-100INV $164 ยท WR 55.9%
U
UbuntuTradinghedged
Entry 6ยขยท1,000 sharesยทalso $1.1K on NO
$-38INV $64 ยท WR 66.4%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 4ยขยท666.5 shares
$-11INV $28 ยท WR 56.1%
N
NyetRisk
Entry 1ยขยท2,111 shares
+$36INV $17 ยท WR 87.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 3ยขยท409.5 shares
$-2INV $13 ยท WR 68.6%
P
PaddyAlphahedged
Entry 3ยขยท268 sharesยทalso $284 on NO
$-2INV $9 ยท WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 38

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 24% YES: Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iranโ€ฆ