57284910 · Polymarket wallet 0x856a…4ea2

+$1,248 lifetime P&L · 90% win rate · 20 resolved markets · 0x856ac2b10fb37c9b74e18f16da2acedfa60f4ea2

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Wallet snapshot

57284910 has made 1,302 trades on Polymarket across 69 markets, $397K in volume. Most of it is in politics (33%) and geopolitics (29%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 90%, lifetime P&L +$1,248. It holds 43 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $39K · 97¢ → 98¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No · $25K · 99¢ → 100¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes · $17K · 99¢ → 99¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $9,725 · 97¢ → 97¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo · $8,915 · 99¢ → 99¢
Trump out as President before 2027?No · $5,644 · 96¢ → 95¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No · $5,543 · 96¢ → 98¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No · $5,375 · 97¢ → 98¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $4,399 · 96¢ → 98¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $3,951 · 96¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?No · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?No · -$6 · Oct 20, 2026
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No · +$124 · Oct 20, 2026
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 18, 2026
Plague pandemic in 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 18, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$25 · Oct 16, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.