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Politics188 days left

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.39M
28,492 trades
Smart Whales
213
of 4,119 traders

Next French Presidential Election

53 MARKETS · $148.83M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

89 YESvs124 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 69 YES vs 34 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$1.7K+15 new NO$7.8K
$682 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $23.4K is directional: YES $19.6K·NO $3.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$20.8K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.1K(-24.5%)
Whales
89
Y
Yirmeyahu🥇
Entry 4¢·159,325 shares
$-1214INV $6.1K · WR 62.6%
S
scottilicious🥈
Entry 5¢·117,174 shares
$-2032INV $5.7K · WR 85.4%
S
spx11🥉
Entry 5¢·26,562.4 shares
$-448INV $1.3K · WR 60.0%
M
Montecarlaw
Entry 4¢·21,732.2 shares
$-234INV $906 · WR 63.8%
P
PolBandit
Entry 3¢·20,135.7 shares
$-78INV $701 · WR 87.7%
J
juy99
Entry 50¢·1,360 shares
$-638INV $680 · WR 63.6%
B
burrito338
Entry 4¢·13,907.2 shares
$-74INV $505 · WR 93.2%
M
ma762nazemle
Entry 3¢·17,551.5 shares
+$73INV $470 · WR 65.9%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 4¢·11,061.4 shares
$-83INV $426 · WR 61.2%
I
insidero
Entry 4¢·8,023 shares
$-86INV $335 · WR 72.7%
Showing top 10 of 89

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 42% YES: François Hollande win the 2027 French…