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Politics188 days left

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$2.14M
16,234 trades
Smart Whales
348
of 2,483 traders · 2 on both sides

Next French Presidential Election

53 MARKETS · $148.83M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

128 YESvs222 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 69 YES vs 117 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+47 new YES$10.7K+28 new NO$33.6K
$2.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $94.7K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $1 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $18.4K·NO $76.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$21.6K
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-4.8%)
Whales
128
S
spx11🥇
Entry 13¢·44,880 shares
$-668INV $5.8K · WR 60.0%
P
Plawaan🥈
Entry 12¢·32,359.2 shares
$-258INV $4.0K · WR 56.3%
S
Skaliz🥉
Entry 12¢·13,999.6 shares
$-129INV $1.7K · WR 58.1%
M
Montecarlaw
Entry 14¢·10,320.7 shares
$-227INV $1.4K · WR 63.8%
E
e93fdd50d6419b
Entry 13¢·8,869.2 shares
$-140INV $1.2K · WR 58.9%
M
Methaslegs
Entry 11¢·9,500 shares
+$49INV $1.0K · WR 62.6%
F
firegold
Entry 13¢·5,000 shares
$-75INV $650 · WR 59.7%
R
Repentant-Decimal
Entry 12¢·4,943.5 shares
$-40INV $609 · WR 61.4%
J
jiarijing
Entry 13¢·4,323 shares
$-45INV $542 · WR 58.0%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 10¢·2,666 shares
+$33INV $273 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 128

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French…