ClayHollowTrail · Polymarket wallet 0xd8a5…d686

Wallet snapshot

ClayHollowTrail has made 881 trades on Polymarket across 84 markets, $55K in volume. Most of it is in sports (88%) and politics (8%). On 72 resolved markets the win rate is 59.7%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $296 · 92¢ → 92¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $286 · 89¢ → 89¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $153 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $141 · 88¢ → 88¢
• Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?No · $90 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes · $14 · 89¢ → 89¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $10 · 4¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · -$3,741 · Oct 12, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1,800 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · +$1,469 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No · +$51 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · +$2,440 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes · +$303 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

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