MP1261 · Polymarket wallet 0xdc4b…b8af

Wallet snapshot

MP1261 has made 526 trades on Polymarket across 212 markets, $4,394 in volume. Most of it is in politics (13%). On 184 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%, lifetime P&L -$29. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $56 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $52 · 84¢ → 87¢
• Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $48 · 76¢ → 81¢
• Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $43 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No · $38 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $27 · 95¢ → 94¢
• Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $24 · 70¢ → 81¢
• Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $21 · 89¢ → 94¢
• Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $20 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $19 · 86¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$47 · Oct 19, 2026
• Paris curfew by October 31?Yes · +$72 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Oct 18, 2026
• French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No · -$68 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes · +$12 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

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