Politics188 days left
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$23.5K
1,075 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 182 traders · 1 on both sides
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 MARKETS · $346.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+18¢$5.7K2/7Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢4¢
$5.7K2/7
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢−7¢$4.0K0/4Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−7¢7¢
$4.0K0/4
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$11.0K0/7Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$11.0K0/7
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.3K0/2Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.3K0/2
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+6¢$4.6K1/8Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+6¢5¢
$4.6K1/8
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
15¢+23¢$149.6K9/15Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢15¢
$149.6K9/15
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢−6¢$2.1K0/2Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−6¢6¢
$2.1K0/2
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$7.2K2/8Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$7.2K2/8
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$1.9K0/4
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+11¢$4.2K1/6Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢
$4.2K1/6
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+14¢$13.2K2/8Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢
$13.2K2/8
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+9¢$7.2K1/7Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢
$7.2K1/7
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+44¢$6.7K4/4Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+44¢6¢
$6.7K4/4
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+17¢$2.1K2/7Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+17¢5¢
$2.1K2/7
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.3K0/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
37¢+13¢$19.7K11/11Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+13¢37¢
$19.7K11/11
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←
6¢+24¢$23.5K6/14Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+24¢6¢
$23.5K6/14
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+9¢$4.4K1/6Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢5¢
$4.4K1/6
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+31¢$9211/2Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢
$9211/2
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$6.8K0/4Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$6.8K0/4
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
90¢−29¢$17.4K11/7Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−29¢90¢
$17.4K11/7
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+35¢$3.2K2/3Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+35¢5¢
$3.2K2/3
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.9K0/3Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.9K0/3
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.3K0/6Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.3K0/6
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$1.9K0/4
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$2.7K1/4Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$2.7K1/4
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+16¢$8.1K2/7Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢6¢
$8.1K2/7
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$5.3K1/3Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$5.3K1/3
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.2K0/5Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.2K0/5
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+22¢$4.8K2/6Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+22¢3¢
$4.8K2/6
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$1.7K0/2
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢−1¢$1.6K0/4Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢
$1.6K0/4
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+10¢$3.7K1/6Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢
$3.7K1/6
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
50¢−4¢$5.8K6/7Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢50¢
$5.8K6/7
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$580 of $4.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $489·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-94.4%)
Whales
6
N
NoDoubtD🥇
Entry 74¢·619 shares
Invested
$455
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $455 · WR 76.5%
G
gramschmidt🥈hedged
Entry 57732¢·0.8 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$442
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-442
$-442INV $442 · WR 61.9%
P
PascalPro🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·400 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$290
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-270
$-270INV $290 · WR 66.1%
F
FrozenParasitehedged
Entry 17¢·308.9 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$52
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $52 · WR 56.4%
P
plyhu
Entry 79¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 60.9%
H
HuMani1
Entry 33¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 57.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$318(+8.1%)
Whales
14
P
PascalPro🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·2,059.8 shares·also $290 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $1.8K · WR 66.1%
D
DFK🥈
Entry 92¢·1,611.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $1.5K · WR 82.6%
A
archaic🥉
Entry 92¢·301.5 shares
Invested
$278
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $278 · WR 86.8%
K
knrad◆Proven
Entry 92¢·200.6 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $185 · WR 77.1%
N
nicoco89
Entry 65¢·100 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $65 · WR 62.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 93¢·40.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 68.2%
F
FrozenParasitehedged
Entry 25¢·110.3 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $28 · WR 56.4%
D
Double-Return
Entry 89¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 60.0%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 96¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 66.7%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 47¢·15 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 67.2%
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