Politics196 days left

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$12.4K

295 trades

Smart Whales

10

of 78 traders

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 MARKETS · $245.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+19¢$5.6K2/7

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+29¢$2.5K1/2

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+29¢4¢

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.3K0/6

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$2.2K0/2

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+8¢$4.5K1/8

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+8¢3¢

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

13¢+31¢$81.0K8/10

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢13¢

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$1.5K0/2

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+30¢$6.4K3/6

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.8K0/3

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$2.3K1/6

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←

6¢+14¢$12.4K2/8

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+14¢6¢

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.9K0/6

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+44¢$4.0K4/4

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+44¢6¢

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+23¢$2.1K3/8

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢4¢

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

42¢+3¢$16.5K9/11

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+3¢42¢

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+25¢$23.5K6/14

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+25¢5¢

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$3.5K1/6

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+31¢$9211/2

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$5.9K0/4

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

91¢−38¢$15.6K8/7

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−38¢91¢

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+38¢$3.1K2/3

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+38¢2¢

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+23¢$1.8K1/3

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢2¢

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$2.3K0/6

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$1.8K0/3

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+9¢$5.7K1/6

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢5¢

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$4.8K1/3

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$2.1K0/5

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+26¢$3.9K3/7

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+26¢4¢

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.6K0/2

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+14¢$3.2K1/5

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢3¢

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

43¢+17¢$3.8K6/4

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+17¢43¢

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.3K1/6

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$7310/3

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs8 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 6 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $32·NO $3.0K

YES Team

Total Invested

$40

Avg Win Rate

67.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$22(-54.5%)

Whales

2

Entry 11¢·278 shares

$-14INV $32 · WR 65.7%

Stefnc🥈hedged

Entry 102¢·8.5 shares·also $1 on NO

$-8INV $9 · WR 73.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$3.0K

Avg Win Rate

73.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$28(+0.9%)

Whales

8

Entry 94¢·1,619.4 shares

$-5INV $1.5K · WR 82.8%

Entry 92¢·1,470.6 shares

+$21INV $1.4K · WR 64.4%

Entry 89¢·66 shares

+$3INV $59 · WR 61.3%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 89¢·27 shares

+$1INV $24 · WR 68.6%

balerinacapuchina

Entry 93¢·5.4 shares

+$0INV $5 · WR 69.5%

Entry 93¢·5.4 shares

+$0INV $5 · WR 86.3%

tzquantalpha001

Entry 92¢·2.9 shares

+$0INV $3 · WR 67.2%

Entry 12¢·8.5 shares·also $9 on YES

+$7INV $1 · WR 73.7%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 293ms