Politics193 days left
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$16.5K
595 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 169 traders · 1 on both sides
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 MARKETS · $304.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+19¢$5.7K2/7Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢
$5.7K2/7
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+19¢$3.6K1/3Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢6¢
$3.6K1/3
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$4.4K0/7Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$4.4K0/7
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢−7¢$2.3K0/2Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−7¢7¢
$2.3K0/2
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+7¢$4.6K1/8Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢4¢
$4.6K1/8
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
15¢+20¢$132.0K8/15Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+20¢15¢
$132.0K8/15
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$2.1K0/2Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$2.1K0/2
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+30¢$6.4K3/6Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢
$6.4K3/6
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.8K0/3
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.8K0/5Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.8K0/5
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+14¢$12.7K2/8Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢
$12.7K2/8
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$4.9K0/6Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$4.9K0/6
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+44¢$6.3K4/4Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+44¢6¢
$6.3K4/4
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+18¢$2.1K2/7Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢4¢
$2.1K2/7
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.3K0/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←
43¢+5¢$16.5K10/11Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+5¢43¢
$16.5K10/11
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+26¢$23.5K6/13Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+26¢6¢
$23.5K6/13
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+10¢$4.2K1/6Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢
$4.2K1/6
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+31¢$9211/2Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢
$9211/2
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$5.9K0/4Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$5.9K0/4
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
91¢−38¢$15.6K8/7Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−38¢91¢
$15.6K8/7
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+35¢$3.2K2/3Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+35¢5¢
$3.2K2/3
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢
$1.8K0/3
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$2.3K0/6Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$2.3K0/6
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$1.9K0/4Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$1.9K0/4
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢
$1.8K1/4
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+9¢$6.0K1/7Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢
$6.0K1/7
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$4.8K1/3Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$4.8K1/3
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$2.2K0/5Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$2.2K0/5
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$4.3K2/6Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$4.3K2/6
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$1.7K0/2
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢
$1.5K0/3
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+11¢$3.7K1/6Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢
$3.7K1/6
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
51¢+4¢$5.0K6/5Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+4¢51¢
$5.0K6/5
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Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs11 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$281 of $3.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $412·NO $2.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$553
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+0.5%)
Whales
10
P
PascalPro🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·700 shares·also $140 on NO
Invested
$290
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $290 · WR 64.4%
M
Montecarlaw🥈
Entry 44¢·300 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $131 · WR 63.8%
R
Rulles🥉
Entry 45¢·113 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $51 · WR 79.3%
R
Romec
Entry 49¢·104.8 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $51 · WR 73.0%
H
hexos7
Entry 37¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 57.1%
C
cryptomad89
Entry 52¢·19.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 60.6%
P
peut-etreELM
Entry 44¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 60.9%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 47¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 77.7%
S
Sinusitis
Entry 37¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 79.4%
L
Legal-Frigatehedged
Entry 24¢·2.4 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$199(+7.9%)
Whales
11
G
G.Hchen🥇
Entry 54¢·3,255.1 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $1.8K · WR 56.9%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 46¢·660.5 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $306 · WR 56.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 47¢·300 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $141 · WR 70.3%
P
PascalProhedged
Entry 62¢·226.3 shares·also $290 on YES
Invested
$140
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $140 · WR 64.4%
M
mskl
Entry 56¢·209 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $117 · WR 55.8%
S
Stefnc
Entry 65¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 73.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 62¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 68.4%
S
sushilord
Entry 54¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 87.5%
P
presidentendup
Entry 62¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 71.1%
O
onotole
Entry 49¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 57.1%
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