ronaldk · Polymarket wallet 0x09e2…29de

Wallet snapshot

ronaldk has made 3,167 trades on Polymarket across 409 markets, $275K in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%) and geopolitics (17%). On 388 resolved markets the win rate is 72.2%, lifetime P&L +$39K. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No · $539 · 41¢ → 98¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $506 · 66¢ → 48¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $466 · 47¢ → 51¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $413 · 44¢ → 73¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes · $293 · 50¢ → 36¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes · $259 · 55¢ → 51¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $229 · 67¢ → 69¢
• Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes · $186 · 29¢ → 6¢
• Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Yes · $129 · 3¢ → 6¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $120 · 51¢ → 65¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes · +$61 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes · +$141 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes · +$32 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No · +$15 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes · +$8 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

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