Politics193 days left

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

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YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$2.8K

106 trades

Smart Whales

6

of 33 traders

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

36 MARKETS · $304.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+19¢$5.7K2/7

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢3¢

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+19¢$3.6K1/3

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+19¢6¢

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.4K0/7

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

7¢−7¢$2.3K0/2

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−7¢7¢

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+7¢$4.6K1/8

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+7¢4¢

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

15¢+20¢$132.0K8/15

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+20¢15¢

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$2.1K0/2

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+30¢$6.4K3/6

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+30¢3¢

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.8K0/3

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←

4¢−4¢$2.8K0/5

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←−4¢4¢

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

6¢+14¢$12.7K2/8

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+14¢6¢

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$4.9K0/6

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+45¢$6.3K4/4

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+45¢5¢

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+18¢$2.1K2/7

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢4¢

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$1.3K0/2

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

43¢+5¢$16.5K10/11

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+5¢43¢

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢+27¢$23.5K6/13

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+27¢5¢

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.2K1/6

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢+31¢$9211/2

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+31¢2¢

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

5¢−5¢$5.9K0/4

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

91¢−38¢$15.6K8/7

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−38¢91¢

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+36¢$3.2K2/3

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+36¢4¢

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.8K0/3

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

2¢−2¢$2.3K0/6

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−2¢2¢

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$1.9K0/4

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+16¢$1.8K1/4

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+16¢4¢

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+9¢$6.0K1/7

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢4¢

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+21¢$4.8K1/3

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$2.2K0/5

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

7¢+18¢$4.3K2/6

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢7¢

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢−3¢$1.7K0/2

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

1¢−1¢$1.5K0/3

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

3¢+11¢$3.7K1/6

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢3¢

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

51¢+4¢$5.0K6/5

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+4¢51¢

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢+10¢$4.3K1/6

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢4¢

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election

4¢−4¢$7310/3

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs5 NO

17%83%

83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $323 is directional: YES $0·NO $323

YES Team

Total Invested

$259

Avg Win Rate

56.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$248(-95.8%)

Whales

1

flovertaco🥇hedged

Entry 96¢·268.4 shares·also $12 on NO

$-248INV $259 · WR 56.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$335

Avg Win Rate

77.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$250(+74.6%)

Whales

5

Entry 94¢·212.3 shares

+$4INV $200 · WR 82.7%

Hot-SkullProven🥈

Entry 96¢·114.1 shares

$-0INV $109 · WR 70.1%

flovertaco🥉hedged

Entry 4¢·268.4 shares·also $259 on YES

+$246INV $12 · WR 56.7%

Entry 95¢·11.6 shares

+$0INV $11 · WR 64.4%

Entry 96¢·2.4 shares

$-0INV $2 · WR 68.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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