Politics253 days left

Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

20¢

20% implied

NO Price

80¢

80% implied

Volume

$3.5K

189 trades

Smart Whales

of 84 traders · 1 on both sides

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $570.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Bernard Cazeneuve+19¢6¢

$12.8K2/6

Bruno Retailleau

60¢−10¢$18.5K11/11

Bruno Retailleau−10¢60¢

Clémentine Autain−3¢3¢

Delphine Batho+19¢10¢

$3.2K2/5

Dominique de Villepin

31¢+13¢$21.7K8/10

Dominique de Villepin+13¢31¢

$21.7K8/10

Fabien Roussel

87¢−31¢$4.8K5/4

Fabien Roussel−31¢87¢

$4.8K5/4

François Asselineau

13¢+14¢$15.6K3/8

François Asselineau+14¢13¢

François Hollande+26¢24¢

$42.4K23/23

François Ruffin←

20¢0¢$3.5K3/12

François Ruffin←0¢20¢

Gérald Darmanin+29¢4¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−17¢94¢

$25.5K10/3

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

6¢+11¢$3.6K1/5

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+11¢6¢

$3.6K1/5

Jordan Bardella

8¢+45¢$32.8K10/9

Jordan Bardella+45¢8¢

Karim Bouamrane+33¢5¢

$11.3K5/8

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+20¢$21.6K3/10

Laurent Wauquiez+20¢3¢

Marine Tondelier+8¢31¢

Matthieu Pigasse+34¢6¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

5¢+45¢$11.1K7/7

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+45¢5¢

$11.1K7/7

Nathalie Arthaud

86¢−6¢$8.2K4/1

Nathalie Arthaud−6¢86¢

$8.2K4/1

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

71¢−38¢$3.2K3/6

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−38¢71¢

Philippe de Villiers−5¢5¢

$4.4K0/5

Raphaël Glucksmann

83¢−18¢$24.7K22/12

Raphaël Glucksmann−18¢83¢

Sébastien Lecornu+28¢5¢

Valérie Pécresse+29¢4¢

$1.4K1/2

Xavier Bertrand

6¢+32¢$11.2K5/8

Xavier Bertrand+32¢6¢

$11.2K5/8

Yaël Braun-Pivet

6¢+19¢$1.9K2/6

Yaël Braun-Pivet+19¢6¢

$1.9K2/6

Édouard Philippe

82¢−28¢$21.5K7/6

Édouard Philippe−28¢82¢

$21.5K7/6

Élisabeth Borne

7¢+13¢$2.4K1/4

Élisabeth Borne+13¢7¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 11 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$5 of $703 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $26·NO $672

YES Team

Total Invested

$37

Avg Win Rate

60.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$18(-47.7%)

Whales

$-10INV $26 · WR 60.0%

mskl🥈hedged

Entry 170¢·5 shares·also $9 on NO

Entry 22¢·11.9 shares·also $18 on NO

NO Team

Total Invested

$683

Avg Win Rate

71.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$162(+23.7%)

Whales

+$84INV $316 · WR 62.3%

+$44INV $196 · WR 88.0%

+$2INV $46 · WR 84.2%

+$9INV $33 · WR 61.9%

+$4INV $22 · WR 61.4%

Lepolo

Entry 52¢·37.5 shares

+$11INV $20 · WR 64.9%

PascalProhedged

Entry 71¢·26 shares·also $3 on YES

+$2INV $18 · WR 66.2%

0x9037dab5...

Entry 70¢·14.5 shares

+$1INV $10 · WR 85.2%

msklhedged

Entry 58¢·15 shares·also $9 on YES

Showing top 10 of 12

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