Politics266 days left

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

94¢

94% implied

NO Price

6¢

6% implied

Volume

$21.6K

692 trades

Smart Whales

12

of 168 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $507.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

5¢+17¢$7.9K2/7

Bally Bagayoko+17¢5¢

Bernard Cazeneuve

10¢+15¢$12.0K2/6

Bernard Cazeneuve+15¢10¢

Bruno Retailleau

56¢−6¢$13.9K10/10

Bruno Retailleau−6¢56¢

5¢+12¢$4.9K1/5

Carole Delga+12¢5¢

Clémentine Autain

1¢−1¢$1.9K0/2

Clémentine Autain−1¢1¢

73¢−30¢$21.9K9/12

David Lisnard−30¢73¢

9¢+8¢$2.5K1/5

Delphine Batho+8¢9¢

Dominique de Villepin

33¢+14¢$21.2K8/9

Dominique de Villepin+14¢33¢

79¢−29¢$4.7K4/4

Fabien Roussel−29¢79¢

François Asselineau

19¢+14¢$14.3K4/8

François Asselineau+14¢19¢

François Bayrou

5¢+24¢$5.3K2/5

François Bayrou+24¢5¢

François Hollande

38¢+11¢$35.4K19/20

François Hollande+11¢38¢

François Ruffin

25¢−4¢$2.6K3/11

François Ruffin−4¢25¢

20¢+15¢$17.2K8/15

Gabriel Attal+15¢20¢

Gérald Darmanin

3¢+19¢$6.1K2/7

Gérald Darmanin+19¢3¢

5¢−5¢$3.9K0/4

Jean Castex−5¢5¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon←

94¢−19¢$21.6K9/3

Jean-Luc Mélenchon←−19¢94¢

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

5¢+24¢$3.5K2/5

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+24¢5¢

Jordan Bardella

6¢+44¢$32.3K10/10

Jordan Bardella+44¢6¢

9¢+12¢$9.1K3/11

Juan Branco+12¢9¢

5¢+8¢$7.2K1/7

Jérôme Guedj+8¢5¢

Karim Bouamrane

5¢+31¢$11.3K5/9

Karim Bouamrane+31¢5¢

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+20¢$21.6K3/10

Laurent Wauquiez+20¢3¢

4¢+9¢$4.5K1/7

Manuel Bompard+9¢4¢

4¢−4¢$1.2K0/3

Manuel Valls−4¢4¢

92¢−38¢$34.5K14/12

Marine Le Pen−38¢92¢

Marine Tondelier

27¢+12¢$12.4K7/11

Marine Tondelier+12¢27¢

4¢+46¢$3.4K3/3

Mathilde Panot+46¢4¢

Matthieu Pigasse

11¢+27¢$14.2K5/8

Matthieu Pigasse+27¢11¢

6¢+11¢$3.2K1/5

Michel Barnier+11¢6¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

3¢+43¢$10.0K6/7

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+43¢3¢

Nathalie Arthaud

88¢−8¢$8.2K4/1

Nathalie Arthaud−8¢88¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

65¢−15¢$3.0K4/4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−15¢65¢

12¢+38¢$4.7K2/2

Olivier Faure+38¢12¢

Philippe de Villiers

5¢+12¢$4.3K1/5

Philippe de Villiers+12¢5¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

58¢−3¢$15.3K11/9

Raphaël Glucksmann−3¢58¢

14¢+41¢$37.9K11/9

Sarah Knafo+41¢14¢

Sébastien Lecornu

4¢+16¢$4.9K1/4

Sébastien Lecornu+16¢4¢

Ségolène Royal

3¢+26¢$3.9K2/5

Ségolène Royal+26¢3¢

3¢+22¢$7.9K3/9

Teddy Riner+22¢3¢

Valérie Pécresse

4¢+29¢$1.4K1/2

Valérie Pécresse+29¢4¢

Xavier Bertrand

13¢+25¢$7.7K5/8

Xavier Bertrand+25¢13¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet

5¢+24¢$1.9K2/5

Yaël Braun-Pivet+24¢5¢

Édouard Philippe

91¢−33¢$20.3K7/5

Édouard Philippe−33¢91¢

Élisabeth Borne

7¢+10¢$2.4K1/5

Élisabeth Borne+10¢7¢

86¢−36¢$18.5K6/6

Éric Zemmour−36¢86¢

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Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs3 NO

75%25%

75% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%

+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$0

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.2K is directional: YES $3.2K·NO $13

YES Team

Total Invested

$3.3K

Avg Win Rate

77.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$170(+5.2%)

Whales

9

Entry 89¢·2,060 shares

+$115INV $1.8K · WR 82.7%

Entry 93¢·962 shares

+$14INV $892 · WR 64.4%

Entry 91¢·295.9 shares

+$10INV $269 · WR 86.9%

Entry 86¢·198.8 shares

+$17INV $170 · WR 76.5%

Entry 89¢·80 shares·also $1 on NO

+$4INV $71 · WR 88.0%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 96¢·33.1 shares

$-1INV $32 · WR 68.4%

tzquantalpha001

Entry 91¢·10.9 shares

+$0INV $10 · WR 66.7%

Entry 47¢·20 shares

+$9INV $9 · WR 72.2%

Motionless-Parsnip

Entry 94¢·5.3 shares

—INV $5 · WR 75.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$62

Avg Win Rate

59.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$55(-89.0%)

Whales

3

0x9f3eb138...🥇

Entry 84¢·57.7 shares

$-45INV $49 · WR 57.4%

Mattia.Ilenotti🥈

Entry 28¢·45.5 shares

$-10INV $13 · WR 64.7%

Hjklm🥉hedged

Entry 5¢·16 shares·also $71 on YES

+$0INV $1 · WR 88.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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