Politics193 days left

Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$1.2K

80 trades

Smart Whales

of 33 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $508.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

Bernard Cazeneuve+15¢10¢

$12.0K2/6

Bruno Retailleau

56¢−6¢$13.9K10/10

Bruno Retailleau−6¢56¢

Clémentine Autain−1¢1¢

Dominique de Villepin

33¢+14¢$21.2K8/9

Dominique de Villepin+14¢33¢

$21.2K8/9

Fabien Roussel

80¢−30¢$4.7K4/4

Fabien Roussel−30¢80¢

$4.7K4/4

François Asselineau

20¢+18¢$14.3K5/8

François Asselineau+18¢20¢

$14.3K5/8

François Bayrou

5¢+24¢$5.3K2/5

François Bayrou+24¢5¢

$5.3K2/5

François Hollande

35¢+13¢$35.4K20/22

François Hollande+13¢35¢

$35.4K20/22

François Ruffin

25¢−4¢$2.6K3/11

François Ruffin−4¢25¢

Gérald Darmanin+19¢3¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−19¢94¢

$21.6K9/3

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

6¢+23¢$3.5K2/5

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+23¢6¢

$3.5K2/5

Jordan Bardella

6¢+47¢$32.3K10/9

Jordan Bardella+47¢6¢

Karim Bouamrane+31¢5¢

$11.3K5/9

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+22¢$21.6K3/9

Laurent Wauquiez+22¢3¢

Marine Tondelier+12¢27¢

Matthieu Pigasse+27¢11¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

3¢+43¢$10.0K6/7

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+43¢3¢

$10.0K6/7

Nathalie Arthaud

88¢−8¢$8.2K4/1

Nathalie Arthaud−8¢88¢

$8.2K4/1

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

65¢−15¢$3.0K4/4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−15¢65¢

Philippe de Villiers+12¢5¢

$4.3K1/5

Raphaël Glucksmann

58¢−1¢$15.3K12/9

Raphaël Glucksmann−1¢58¢

Sébastien Lecornu+16¢4¢

Valérie Pécresse+29¢4¢

$1.4K1/2

Xavier Bertrand

13¢+25¢$7.7K5/8

Xavier Bertrand+25¢13¢

$7.7K5/8

Yaël Braun-Pivet

6¢+23¢$1.9K2/5

Yaël Braun-Pivet+23¢6¢

$1.9K2/5

Édouard Philippe

91¢−37¢$20.3K7/6

Édouard Philippe−37¢91¢

$20.3K7/6

Élisabeth Borne

7¢+10¢$2.4K1/5

Élisabeth Borne+10¢7¢

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs3 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $192 is directional: YES $0·NO $192

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$195

Avg Win Rate

64.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$3(+1.6%)

Whales

+$2INV $145 · WR 64.4%

+$1INV $47 · WR 61.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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