Politics193 days left

Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$3.9K

150 trades

Smart Whales

of 53 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $507.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Bernard Cazeneuve+15¢10¢

$12.0K2/6

Bruno Retailleau

56¢−6¢$13.9K10/10

Bruno Retailleau−6¢56¢

Clémentine Autain−1¢1¢

Dominique de Villepin

33¢+14¢$21.2K8/9

Dominique de Villepin+14¢33¢

$21.2K8/9

Fabien Roussel

79¢−29¢$4.7K4/4

Fabien Roussel−29¢79¢

$4.7K4/4

François Asselineau

19¢+14¢$14.3K4/8

François Asselineau+14¢19¢

$14.3K4/8

François Bayrou

5¢+24¢$5.3K2/5

François Bayrou+24¢5¢

$5.3K2/5

François Hollande

38¢+11¢$35.4K19/20

François Hollande+11¢38¢

$35.4K19/20

François Ruffin

25¢−4¢$2.6K3/11

François Ruffin−4¢25¢

Gérald Darmanin+19¢3¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−19¢94¢

$21.6K9/3

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

5¢+24¢$3.5K2/5

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+24¢5¢

$3.5K2/5

Jordan Bardella

6¢+44¢$32.3K10/10

Jordan Bardella+44¢6¢

Karim Bouamrane+31¢5¢

$11.3K5/9

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+20¢$21.6K3/10

Laurent Wauquiez+20¢3¢

Marine Tondelier+12¢27¢

Matthieu Pigasse+27¢11¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

3¢+43¢$10.0K6/7

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+43¢3¢

$10.0K6/7

Nathalie Arthaud

88¢−8¢$8.2K4/1

Nathalie Arthaud−8¢88¢

$8.2K4/1

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

65¢−15¢$3.0K4/4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−15¢65¢

Philippe de Villiers+12¢5¢

$4.3K1/5

Raphaël Glucksmann

58¢−3¢$15.3K11/9

Raphaël Glucksmann−3¢58¢

Sébastien Lecornu+16¢4¢

Valérie Pécresse+29¢4¢

$1.4K1/2

Xavier Bertrand

13¢+25¢$7.7K5/8

Xavier Bertrand+25¢13¢

$7.7K5/8

Yaël Braun-Pivet

5¢+24¢$1.9K2/5

Yaël Braun-Pivet+24¢5¢

$1.9K2/5

Édouard Philippe

91¢−33¢$20.3K7/5

Édouard Philippe−33¢91¢

$20.3K7/5

Élisabeth Borne

7¢+10¢$2.4K1/5

Élisabeth Borne+10¢7¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs4 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $893 is directional: YES $0·NO $893

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$893

Avg Win Rate

65.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$30(+3.4%)

Whales

PascalPro🥇

Entry 92¢·912.8 shares

+$27INV $842 · WR 64.4%

+$2INV $22 · WR 89.2%

sushilord🥉

Entry 93¢·21.6 shares

+$1INV $20 · WR 87.5%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 253ms