Politics193 days left

Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$5.3K

178 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 72 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $508.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

5¢+17¢$7.9K2/7

Bally Bagayoko+17¢5¢

Bernard Cazeneuve

10¢+15¢$12.0K2/6

Bernard Cazeneuve+15¢10¢

Bruno Retailleau

56¢−6¢$13.9K10/10

Bruno Retailleau−6¢56¢

5¢+12¢$4.9K1/5

Carole Delga+12¢5¢

Clémentine Autain

1¢−1¢$1.9K0/2

Clémentine Autain−1¢1¢

73¢−30¢$21.9K9/12

David Lisnard−30¢73¢

9¢+8¢$2.5K1/5

Delphine Batho+8¢9¢

Dominique de Villepin

33¢+14¢$21.2K8/9

Dominique de Villepin+14¢33¢

80¢−30¢$4.7K4/4

Fabien Roussel−30¢80¢

François Asselineau

20¢+18¢$14.3K5/8

François Asselineau+18¢20¢

François Bayrou←

5¢+24¢$5.3K2/5

François Bayrou←+24¢5¢

François Hollande

35¢+13¢$35.4K20/22

François Hollande+13¢35¢

François Ruffin

25¢−4¢$2.6K3/11

François Ruffin−4¢25¢

20¢+18¢$17.2K8/13

Gabriel Attal+18¢20¢

Gérald Darmanin

3¢+19¢$6.1K2/7

Gérald Darmanin+19¢3¢

5¢−5¢$3.9K0/4

Jean Castex−5¢5¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

94¢−19¢$21.6K9/3

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−19¢94¢

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

6¢+23¢$3.5K2/5

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+23¢6¢

Jordan Bardella

6¢+47¢$32.3K10/9

Jordan Bardella+47¢6¢

9¢+18¢$9.1K4/11

Juan Branco+18¢9¢

5¢+8¢$7.2K1/7

Jérôme Guedj+8¢5¢

Karim Bouamrane

5¢+31¢$11.3K5/9

Karim Bouamrane+31¢5¢

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+22¢$21.6K3/9

Laurent Wauquiez+22¢3¢

3¢+10¢$4.5K1/7

Manuel Bompard+10¢3¢

4¢−4¢$1.2K0/3

Manuel Valls−4¢4¢

92¢−38¢$34.5K14/12

Marine Le Pen−38¢92¢

Marine Tondelier

27¢+12¢$12.4K7/11

Marine Tondelier+12¢27¢

4¢+46¢$3.4K3/3

Mathilde Panot+46¢4¢

Matthieu Pigasse

11¢+27¢$14.2K5/8

Matthieu Pigasse+27¢11¢

6¢+11¢$3.2K1/5

Michel Barnier+11¢6¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

3¢+43¢$10.0K6/7

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+43¢3¢

Nathalie Arthaud

88¢−8¢$8.2K4/1

Nathalie Arthaud−8¢88¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

65¢−15¢$3.0K4/4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−15¢65¢

12¢+38¢$4.7K2/2

Olivier Faure+38¢12¢

Philippe de Villiers

5¢+12¢$4.3K1/5

Philippe de Villiers+12¢5¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

58¢−1¢$15.3K12/9

Raphaël Glucksmann−1¢58¢

16¢+39¢$37.9K11/9

Sarah Knafo+39¢16¢

Sébastien Lecornu

4¢+16¢$4.9K1/4

Sébastien Lecornu+16¢4¢

Ségolène Royal

3¢+26¢$3.9K2/5

Ségolène Royal+26¢3¢

3¢+22¢$7.9K3/9

Teddy Riner+22¢3¢

Valérie Pécresse

4¢+29¢$1.4K1/2

Valérie Pécresse+29¢4¢

Xavier Bertrand

13¢+25¢$7.7K5/8

Xavier Bertrand+25¢13¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet

6¢+23¢$1.9K2/5

Yaël Braun-Pivet+23¢6¢

Édouard Philippe

91¢−37¢$20.3K7/6

Édouard Philippe−37¢91¢

Élisabeth Borne

7¢+10¢$2.4K1/5

Élisabeth Borne+10¢7¢

88¢−41¢$18.5K7/8

Éric Zemmour−41¢88¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $643 is directional: YES $1·NO $642

YES Team

Total Invested

$2

Avg Win Rate

72.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-27.9%)

Whales

2

Entry 27¢·5 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 63.8%

Hjklm🥈hedged

Entry 3¢·25 shares·also $163 on NO

+$1INV $1 · WR 88.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$805

Avg Win Rate

72.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$34(+4.2%)

Whales

5

Entry 92¢·471.9 shares

+$15INV $433 · WR 64.4%

Entry 88¢·213.5 shares

+$14INV $189 · WR 76.5%

Hjklm🥉hedged

Entry 93¢·175 shares·also $1 on YES

+$4INV $163 · WR 88.0%

Entry 91¢·16.6 shares

+$1INV $15 · WR 87.5%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 95¢·5.1 shares

$-0INV $5 · WR 68.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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