Politics236 days left

Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$5.1K

157 trades

Smart Whales

of 65 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $305.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Bernard Cazeneuve+11¢3¢

$9.4K1/6

Bruno Retailleau

81¢−26¢$9.5K6/5

Bruno Retailleau−26¢81¢

Clémentine Autain−3¢3¢

Dominique de Villepin

32¢+6¢$11.3K6/10

Dominique de Villepin+6¢32¢

François Asselineau+38¢12¢

$9.5K4/4

François Bayrou←

6¢+34¢$5.1K2/3

François Bayrou←+34¢6¢

$5.1K2/3

François Hollande

28¢+9¢$11.2K7/12

François Hollande+9¢28¢

$11.2K7/12

François Ruffin

37¢−24¢$2.0K1/7

François Ruffin−24¢37¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−23¢96¢

$8.8K8/3

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

11¢+9¢$2.3K1/4

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+9¢11¢

$2.3K1/4

Jordan Bardella

13¢+42¢$21.5K6/5

Jordan Bardella+42¢13¢

Karim Bouamrane+26¢7¢

$3.1K2/4

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+6¢$20.2K1/10

Laurent Wauquiez+6¢3¢

Marine Tondelier+13¢27¢

Matthieu Pigasse+24¢6¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

7¢+31¢$8.0K5/8

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+31¢7¢

$8.0K5/8

Nathalie Arthaud

93¢−18¢$7.0K3/1

Nathalie Arthaud−18¢93¢

$7.0K3/1

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

56¢−23¢$1.6K2/4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−23¢56¢

Philippe de Villiers+24¢5¢

$3.9K2/5

Raphaël Glucksmann

68¢−5¢$10.1K5/3

Raphaël Glucksmann−5¢68¢

Sébastien Lecornu−7¢7¢

Valérie Pécresse+45¢5¢

$6811/1

Xavier Bertrand

13¢+12¢$5.0K2/6

Xavier Bertrand+12¢13¢

$5.0K2/6

Yaël Braun-Pivet

6¢+27¢$7281/2

Yaël Braun-Pivet+27¢6¢

$7281/2

Édouard Philippe

85¢−30¢$14.6K6/5

Édouard Philippe−30¢85¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO

40%60%

60% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team25 traders

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

60.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-57.9%)

Whales

NO Team25 traders

Total Invested

$702

Avg Win Rate

73.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$24(+3.5%)

Whales

Prickly-Offense🥇

Entry 91¢·407.1 shares

+$12INV $372 · WR 65.5%

NoDoubtD🥈

Entry 89¢·213.5 shares

+$12INV $190 · WR 76.5%

+$1INV $141 · WR 88.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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