japonka · Polymarket wallet 0x4d13…0237

Wallet snapshot

japonka has made 1,172 trades on Polymarket across 122 markets, $1.2M in volume. Most of it is in sports (35%) and crypto (26%). On 118 resolved markets the win rate is 89.8%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Jun 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $57 · 55¢ → 88¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No · $1 · 44¢ → 100¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $0 · 79¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes · -$14 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No · -$7 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?No · +$7 · Jun 14, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes · -$10 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes · +$8 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes · -$14 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?No · -$45 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?No · +$1 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jun 10, 2026

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