Tech/AIResolved
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$89.9K
755 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 270 traders
Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs19 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $0·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$20.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.5K(+21.8%)
Whales
31
.
.chat🥇
Entry 96¢·4,979.6 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $4.8K · WR 58.0%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 84¢·4,683.6 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$729
+$729INV $4.0K · WR 74.1%
K
kl1v🥉
Entry 66¢·5,099.7 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$1750
+$1750INV $3.4K · WR 81.3%
R
ronaldk
Entry 78¢·2,631 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$575
+$575INV $2.1K · WR 71.7%
T
The-Jokerhedged
Entry 90¢·1,918.2 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $1.7K · WR 70.0%
C
Cupzey
Entry 100¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.3K · WR 61.1%
R
Raskell
Entry 91¢·928.9 shares
Invested
$843
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $843 · WR 62.8%
W
Watchful-Fund
Entry 51¢·939.2 shares
Invested
$480
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$459
+$459INV $480 · WR 62.4%
D
darthgeek1338
Entry 88¢·400 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $351 · WR 86.3%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 90¢·335 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $302 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-97.5%)
Whales
19
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 8¢·13,359.5 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-1092
$-1092INV $1.1K · WR 74.1%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 15¢·1,712.2 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$257
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-257
$-257INV $257 · WR 72.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 6¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $110 · WR 57.7%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 8¢·1,279.7 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $106 · WR 56.7%
T
The-Jokerhedged
Entry 87¢·40 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 70.0%
F
Faston
Entry 5¢·400 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 55.2%
C
calm.rabbit
Entry 35¢·50 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 61.7%
C
Colala
Entry 34¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.8%
1
1walrus
Entry 9¢·100 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 65.1%
L
L1quid
Entry 1¢·600 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 61.5%
Showing top 10 of 19
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