L1quid · Polymarket wallet 0xa794…42ad

Wallet snapshot

L1quid has made 813 trades on Polymarket across 137 markets, $104K in volume. Most of it is in tech (25%) and crypto (14%). On 128 resolved markets the win rate is 61.7%, lifetime P&L +$5,724. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Oct 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $836 · 50¢ → 84¢
• Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No · $441 · 48¢ → 86¢
• Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes · $330 · 15¢ → 17¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $165 · 50¢ → 16¢
• Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes · $110 · 24¢ → 69¢
• Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes · $95 · 33¢ → 10¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes · $90 · 17¢ → 9¢
• Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes · $68 · 90¢ → 68¢
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $15 · 2¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$117 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes · +$59 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes · +$80 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes · +$82 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No · +$74 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?Yes · +$26 · Oct 12, 2026

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