Politics236 days left

Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$2.2K

96 trades

Smart Whales

of 36 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 MARKETS · $301.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Bernard Cazeneuve+11¢3¢

$9.4K1/6

Bruno Retailleau

81¢−26¢$9.5K6/5

Bruno Retailleau−26¢81¢

Clémentine Autain−3¢3¢

Dominique de Villepin

32¢+6¢$11.3K6/10

Dominique de Villepin+6¢32¢

François Asselineau+37¢13¢

$9.5K4/4

François Bayrou

6¢+34¢$5.1K2/3

François Bayrou+34¢6¢

$5.1K2/3

François Hollande

28¢+9¢$11.1K7/12

François Hollande+9¢28¢

$11.1K7/12

François Ruffin

37¢−23¢$2.0K1/6

François Ruffin−23¢37¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−23¢96¢

$8.8K8/3

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

7¢+13¢$1.6K1/4

Jean-Michel Fauvergue+13¢7¢

$1.6K1/4

Jordan Bardella

12¢+43¢$21.5K6/5

Jordan Bardella+43¢12¢

Karim Bouamrane+25¢8¢

$3.1K2/4

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+6¢$20.2K1/10

Laurent Wauquiez+6¢3¢

Marine Tondelier+14¢26¢

Matthieu Pigasse+24¢6¢

$12.7K3/7

Michel Barnier←

2¢+31¢$2.2K1/2

Michel Barnier←+31¢2¢

$2.2K1/2

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

7¢+36¢$8.0K6/8

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+36¢7¢

$8.0K6/8

Nathalie Arthaud

93¢−18¢$7.0K3/1

Nathalie Arthaud−18¢93¢

$7.0K3/1

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

57¢−24¢$1.6K2/4

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−24¢57¢

Philippe de Villiers+26¢3¢

$3.7K2/5

Raphaël Glucksmann

65¢−2¢$10.0K5/3

Raphaël Glucksmann−2¢65¢

Sébastien Lecornu−6¢6¢

Valérie Pécresse+45¢5¢

$6811/1

Xavier Bertrand

13¢+12¢$5.0K2/6

Xavier Bertrand+12¢13¢

$5.0K2/6

Yaël Braun-Pivet

6¢+27¢$5951/2

Yaël Braun-Pivet+27¢6¢

$5951/2

Édouard Philippe

84¢−29¢$14.6K6/5

Édouard Philippe−29¢84¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team10 traders

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

88.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$0(+5.3%)

Whales

NO Team10 traders

Total Invested

$227

Avg Win Rate

66.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$8(-3.7%)

Whales

Prickly-Offense🥇

Entry 93¢·221.7 shares

+$10INV $207 · WR 65.5%

Giorgio2🥈

Entry 1441¢·1.4 shares

$-19INV $20 · WR 74.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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