Resolved
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$17.1K
374 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 125 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs16 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $151 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $136·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.0K(+73.0%)
Whales
12
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥇
Entry 62¢·5,945.2 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
+$2268
+$2268INV $3.7K · WR 91.0%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven🥈
Entry 52¢·5,544 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$2656
+$2656INV $2.9K · WR 69.9%
N
nedsta🥉hedged
Entry 55¢·207.2 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$114
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $114 · WR 87.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 162¢·30 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $49 · WR 65.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 100¢·47.6 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $47 · WR 68.5%
B
black4562
Entry 95¢·41.8 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $40 · WR 68.2%
B
Ballotglass
Entry 78¢·25.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $20 · WR 84.1%
D
dexme
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
94.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 94.3%
G
Giorgio2hedged
Entry 39¢·28.1 shares·also $114 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $11 · WR 74.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 86¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 68.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$200
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$188(-93.7%)
Whales
16
G
Giorgio2🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·121.2 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$114
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $114 · WR 74.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈
Entry 50¢·68 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 66.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 14¢·61.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 89.0%
A
Antony82
Entry 18¢·50 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 61.8%
N
nedstahedged
Entry 2¢·207.2 shares·also $114 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 1¢·420 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 72.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 17¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 13¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 87.7%
C
conherence
Entry 5¢·63 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 59.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 12¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 16
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