Geopolitics89 days left
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
14ยข
14% implied
NO Price
86ยข
86% implied
Volume
$210.8K
2,064 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 327 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS ยท $1.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10ยข+32ยข$184.5K22/30a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+32ยข10ยข
$184.5K22/30
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)โ
14ยข+31ยข$210.8K25/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)โ+31ยข14ยข
$210.8K25/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs31 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars ยท 15 YES vs 26 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%
+1 new YES$3+1 new NO$17
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $21.8K is directional: YES $6.8KยทNO $15.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$19.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$12.2K(-61.3%)
Whales
25
E
equalsignificanceโProven๐ฅ
Entry 81ยขยท9,878.6 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-6555
$-6555INV $8.0K ยท WR 55.0%
V
vinii๐ฅhedged
Entry 48ยขยท8,670.4 sharesยทalso $5.1K on NO
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-2924
$-2924INV $4.2K ยท WR 65.7%
D
denizzโProven๐ฅ
Entry 31ยขยท11,238 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-1857
$-1857INV $3.5K ยท WR 68.6%
B
betwickโProven
Entry 17ยขยท9,108.1 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-258
$-258INV $1.6K ยท WR 59.8%
V
Valen9
Entry 13ยขยท9,878.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $1.3K ยท WR 61.4%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 108ยขยท533.6 shares
Invested
$575
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-497
$-497INV $575 ยท WR 60.6%
E
ED99999
Entry 33ยขยท650.9 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $215 ยท WR 73.5%
S
Simon4s
Entry 48ยขยท200 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $96 ยท WR 74.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 32ยขยท202 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $65 ยท WR 71.7%
M
Majas
Entry 18ยขยท192.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $34 ยท WR 71.5%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.4K
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+10.0%)
Whales
31
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 88ยขยท9,321.8 shares
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-239
$-239INV $8.2K ยท WR 57.8%
V
vinii๐ฅhedged
Entry 62ยขยท8,263 sharesยทalso $4.2K on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$1952
+$1952INV $5.1K ยท WR 65.7%
H
hopedieslast๐ฅ
Entry 82ยขยท5,064.1 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $4.2K ยท WR 56.5%
T
Tenebrus7โProven
Entry 84ยขยท819.7 shares
Invested
$690
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $690 ยท WR 74.2%
S
Sticky-Closing
Entry 69ยขยท755.1 shares
Invested
$524
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $524 ยท WR 62.5%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 81ยขยท422.1 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $343 ยท WR 62.8%
E
Eia
Entry 85ยขยท400 shares
Invested
$341
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $341 ยท WR 62.2%
G
ghorrock
Entry 84ยขยท294.1 shares
Invested
$247
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $247 ยท WR 60.1%
P
paddaa
Entry 86ยขยท242 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $208 ยท WR 61.1%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 91ยขยท203.9 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $185 ยท WR 65.7%
Showing top 10 of 31
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