Geopolitics90 days left
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$78.2K
947 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 166 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10¢+32¢$184.5K22/30a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+32¢10¢
$184.5K22/30
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14¢+31¢$210.8K25/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+31¢14¢
$210.8K25/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs16 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$5
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.4K is directional: YES $308·NO $9.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$777
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$370(-47.6%)
Whales
9
P
paddaa🥇hedged
Entry 12¢·3,313 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$404
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-255
$-255INV $404 · WR 61.1%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 6¢·2,040.2 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $122 · WR 65.7%
B
badatthis🥉
Entry 5¢·1,365.1 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $71 · WR 64.1%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 6¢·1,192 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $69 · WR 68.4%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 14¢·300 shares·also $213 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $42 · WR 66.8%
G
ghorrock
Entry 9¢·318.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $28 · WR 60.1%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 8¢·222 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $18 · WR 55.9%
Z
ZalphaAI
Entry 11¢·140.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $15 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.2K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+10.3%)
Whales
16
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥇
Entry 92¢·3,300.4 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $3.0K · WR 60.3%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥈
Entry 94¢·2,893 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $2.7K · WR 75.9%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven🥉
Entry 88¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$225
+$225INV $2.6K · WR 66.1%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 72¢·2,237.9 shares·also $404 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$536
+$536INV $1.6K · WR 61.1%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 89¢·460 shares
Invested
$408
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $408 · WR 74.2%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 71¢·300 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$213
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $213 · WR 66.8%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 91¢·204 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $186 · WR 65.7%
L
Luminous-Insectarium
Entry 90¢·117.2 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $105 · WR 66.2%
S
spacexstar
Entry 87¢·100 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $87 · WR 64.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 86¢·95.5 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $82 · WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 16
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