AyatollahDollar · Polymarket wallet 0x4e4e…8bd9

Wallet snapshot

AyatollahDollar has made 1,050 trades on Polymarket across 73 markets, $249K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (96%). On 64 resolved markets the win rate is 82.8%, lifetime P&L +$2,914. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $3,223 · 91¢ → 93¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No · $1,174 · 99¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$17 · Oct 11, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$137 · Oct 11, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes · +$12 · Sep 28, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$218 · Sep 9, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$120 · Aug 27, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $0 · Aug 18, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No · +$33 · Aug 18, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · -$1,186 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes · +$4 · Aug 10, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes · -$7 · Aug 1, 2026

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