Geopolitics58 days left
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$139.1K
1,215 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 225 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.48M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
14¢+32¢$208.2K23/27a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+32¢14¢
$208.2K23/27
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
16¢+22¢$262.3K23/38any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+22¢16¢
$262.3K23/38
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs15 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$517+10 new NO$5.2K
$316 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.6K is directional: YES $630·NO $7.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$211(-16.9%)
Whales
13
V
Valen9🥇
Entry 11¢·5,248.9 shares
Invested
$575
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $575 · WR 60.9%
P
paddaa🥈hedged
Entry 12¢·3,313 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$404
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $404 · WR 60.8%
T
Tenebrus7🥉hedged
Entry 10¢·1,000 shares·also $848 on NO
Invested
$100
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $100 · WR 74.3%
7
0x7f6d3eb8...
Entry 98¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $43 · WR 58.4%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 14¢·300 shares·also $213 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $42 · WR 66.9%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 8¢·413.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $31 · WR 67.5%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 8¢·222 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 55.9%
Z
ZalphaAI
Entry 11¢·140.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 62.6%
R
romanew-cryp
Entry 13¢·26.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 70.9%
B
badatthis
Entry 7¢·21 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 63.8%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.8K(+27.6%)
Whales
15
D
DooBieZ🥇
Entry 91¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $4.5K · WR 63.0%
P
paddaa🥈hedged
Entry 72¢·2,237.9 shares·also $404 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$446
+$446INV $1.6K · WR 60.8%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥉
Entry 93¢·1,446.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $1.3K · WR 75.5%
T
Tenebrus7hedged
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares·also $100 on YES
Invested
$848
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $848 · WR 74.3%
E
Eia
Entry 87¢·700 shares
Invested
$609
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $609 · WR 61.2%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 12¢·2,802 shares
Invested
$336
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$2228
+$2228INV $336 · WR 66.3%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 91¢·287.9 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $263 · WR 60.1%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 71¢·300 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$213
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $213 · WR 66.9%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 91¢·204 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $186 · WR 65.7%
V
vinii
Entry 86¢·109 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $94 · WR 66.6%
Showing top 10 of 15
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