Geopolitics89 days left
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
10Ā¢
10% implied
NO Price
90Ā¢
90% implied
Volume
$337.0K
4,327 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 495 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS Ā· $1.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10Ā¢+32Ā¢$184.5K22/30a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+32Ā¢10Ā¢
$184.5K22/30
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14Ā¢+31Ā¢$210.8K25/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+31Ā¢14Ā¢
$210.8K25/31
a ā¤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
14Ā¢+29Ā¢$212.3K23/31a ā¤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)+29Ā¢14Ā¢
$212.3K23/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs47 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars Ā· 12 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%
+1 new YES$40+2 new NO$420
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $10.8K is directional: YES $420Ā·NO $10.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.1K(-84.8%)
Whales
29
P
paddaaš„
Entry 164Ā¢Ā·5,850.9 shares
Invested
$9.6K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-9021
$-9021INV $9.6K Ā· WR 61.1%
P
peterfromfamilyguyš„hedged
Entry 91Ā¢Ā·3,166.1 sharesĀ·also $401 on NO
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-2578
$-2578INV $2.9K Ā· WR 60.3%
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 28Ā¢Ā·5,484.3 sharesĀ·also $2.6K on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-1000
$-1000INV $1.5K Ā· WR 65.7%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·972.3 sharesĀ·also $158 on NO
Invested
$873
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-780
$-780INV $873 Ā· WR 60.6%
C
Chimshedged
Entry 86Ā¢Ā·657.5 sharesĀ·also $88 on NO
Invested
$562
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-500
$-500INV $562 Ā· WR 85.1%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·296.4 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $116 Ā· WR 70.6%
N
neetbetsāProven
Entry 47Ā¢Ā·176.2 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $83 Ā· WR 78.6%
B
badatthis
Entry 15Ā¢Ā·500 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $75 Ā· WR 64.1%
S
SusanWarrenHRāProven
Entry 16Ā¢Ā·250 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $40 Ā· WR 67.5%
7
0x7678aa83...
Entry 7Ā¢Ā·308 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $22 Ā· WR 58.2%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.0K(+46.3%)
Whales
47
V
Valen9š„
Entry 88Ā¢Ā·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $4.4K Ā· WR 61.4%
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 45Ā¢Ā·5,783.9 sharesĀ·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$2612
+$2612INV $2.6K Ā· WR 65.7%
G
GollumGekkoāProvenš„
Entry 85Ā¢Ā·2,411.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $2.0K Ā· WR 75.9%
S
Sticky-Closing
Entry 30Ā¢Ā·3,197.3 shares
Invested
$951
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1943
+$1943INV $951 Ā· WR 62.5%
T
Tenebrus7āProven
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·734.4 shares
Invested
$616
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $616 Ā· WR 74.2%
N
Newshound
Entry 74Ā¢Ā·813.5 shares
Invested
$602
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $602 Ā· WR 57.1%
P
PMTraderAdamāProven
Entry 88Ā¢Ā·529.7 shares
Invested
$464
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $464 Ā· WR 79.4%
P
peterfromfamilyguyhedged
Entry 29Ā¢Ā·1,389 sharesĀ·also $2.9K on YES
Invested
$401
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$856
+$856INV $401 Ā· WR 60.3%
G
ghorrock
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·467.9 shares
Invested
$382
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $382 Ā· WR 60.1%
F
F00Fi
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·388.1 shares
Invested
$320
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $320 Ā· WR 72.0%
Showing top 10 of 47
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