42012 · Polymarket wallet 0xba8d…009d

Wallet snapshot

42012 has made 133,916 trades on Polymarket across 6,932 markets, $3.3M in volume. Most of it is in sports (47%) and politics (7%). On 6,465 resolved markets the win rate is 38.6%, lifetime P&L +$36K. It holds 122 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?". Last trade: Oct 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes · $279 · 32¢ → 28¢
• Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No · $274 · 61¢ → 55¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $263 · 87¢ → 92¢
• Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No · $237 · 71¢ → 68¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?No · $196 · 96¢ → 92¢
• Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?No · $138 · 67¢ → 70¢
• Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No · $115 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Yes · $107 · 29¢ → 21¢
• Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Yes · $105 · 19¢ → 16¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?No · $102 · 71¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

• Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo · +$2 · Oct 21, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 20?No · +$180 · Oct 21, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 20?Yes · +$4 · Oct 21, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 20?No · -$32 · Oct 21, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?No · -$2 · Oct 20, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%?Yes · -$10 · Oct 20, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?

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