Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$16.2K
700 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 182 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs29 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $610 is directional: YES $609·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$928
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$61(+6.6%)
Whales
13
G
GayPride◆Proven🥇
Entry 26¢·1,504.2 shares
Invested
$384
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $384 · WR 69.5%
S
Spectrum◆Proven🥈
Entry 64¢·400 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $255 · WR 60.9%
G
Gmoney16🥉
Entry 27¢·456.9 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $123 · WR 75.0%
A
andy29
Entry 10¢·930.4 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $93 · WR 55.3%
P
prov123hedged
Entry 68¢·64 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $44 · WR 61.1%
M
Malpa
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 61.7%
T
Teleben
Entry 32¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 63.3%
P
phcrux1
Entry 30¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 57.8%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 12¢·21 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 72.8%
G
Glued◆Proven
Entry 14¢·18 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 56.2%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$775
Avg Win Rate
85.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$83(+10.7%)
Whales
29
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 78¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $125 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 68¢·159 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $108 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 60¢·100.5 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $60 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 58¢·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $58 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 79¢·70.1 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $55 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 73¢·60 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $44 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 74¢·50.8 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $38 · WR 88.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 58¢·65.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $38 · WR 79.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82¢·40.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $33 · WR 79.6%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 72¢·33 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $24 · WR 85.0%
Showing top 10 of 29
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