Politics67 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$8.2K
360 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 113 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs17 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team82 traders
Total Invested
$189
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$50(+26.2%)
Whales
6
G
GayPride🥇
Entry 16¢·914.7 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $146 · WR 70.1%
M
Malpa🥈
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $28 · WR 61.4%
A
animal.bean🥉
Entry 50¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 82.3%
Q
quiddy
Entry 50¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 76.1%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 · WR 82.4%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 10¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 66.9%
NO Team82 traders
Total Invested
$756
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-2.4%)
Whales
17
S
Spectrum🥇
Entry 77¢·320 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $246 · WR 61.1%
N
nullpointa🥈
Entry 84¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $134 · WR 87.2%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 85¢·90 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $77 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 83¢·76 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $63 · WR 85.3%
M
Mysaria
Entry 78¢·74.2 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $58 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 87¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $35 · WR 79.5%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 91¢·36.4 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $33 · WR 66.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 87.3%
C
cash-machine
Entry 84¢·24 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 85.0%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 86¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 55.8%
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