Politics23 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$10.8K
510 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 137 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs26 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $365 is directional: YES $318·NO $47YES Team
Total Invested
$347
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$80(+23.0%)
Whales
6
A
andy29🥇
Entry 19¢·899.9 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $170 · WR 55.3%
G
GayPride◆Proven🥈
Entry 16¢·914.7 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $146 · WR 69.5%
M
Malpa🥉
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $28 · WR 61.7%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 81.7%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 10¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 66.8%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$765
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+1.9%)
Whales
26
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 84¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $134 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 81¢·146 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $119 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 83¢·140 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $116 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 77¢·73.6 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $57 · WR 87.7%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 77¢·61 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $47 · WR 60.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 79¢·50 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 87¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $35 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·45 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $22 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $22 · WR 89.3%
C
cash-machine
Entry 84¢·24 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 85.1%
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