Politics23 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$4.9K
372 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 89 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $154.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs26 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $67 is directional: YES $1·NO $66YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-48.0%)
Whales
4
7
0x700974a3...🥇
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 81.7%
E
Eia🥈
Entry 1¢·33 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 61.7%
B
Bikesarethebest🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·20 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.3%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$655(+56.2%)
Whales
26
A
andy29🥇
Entry 46¢·850 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$449
+$449INV $393 · WR 55.3%
N
nullpointa🥈
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $157 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 98¢·109 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $107 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 71¢·105 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $74 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·56 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $55 · WR 87.7%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 97¢·54.9 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $53 · WR 56.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·93.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $47 · WR 87.7%
J
JonnyA◆Proven
Entry 97¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $46 · WR 64.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 79.6%
C
cash-machine
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 85.1%
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