Politics67 days left
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.8K
299 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 74 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team58 traders
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-89.5%)
Whales
4
A
animal.bean🥇
Entry 50¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 82.3%
7
0x700974a3...🥈
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 82.4%
Q
quiddy🥉
Entry 50¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 76.1%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·33 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 62.2%
NO Team58 traders
Total Invested
$639
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$136(+21.2%)
Whales
15
N
nullpointa🥇
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $157 · WR 87.2%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 98¢·109 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $107 · WR 85.3%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 98¢·75 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $74 · WR 88.9%
B
Bikesarethebest
Entry 97¢·74.9 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $73 · WR 55.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·46 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $45 · WR 87.3%
M
Mysaria
Entry 99¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $44 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 79.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 99¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 78.9%
C
cash-machine
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 85.0%
I
i2dt
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 71.0%
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