Politics30 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?
YES Price
9Ā¢
9% implied
NO Price
91Ā¢
91% implied
Volume
$7.7K
443 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 115 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS Ā· $150.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs27 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars Ā· 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $67 is directional: YES $67Ā·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$106
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+2.8%)
Whales
10
A
andy29š„
Entry 7Ā¢Ā·750 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $54 Ā· WR 55.3%
G
GayPrideš„hedged
Entry 10Ā¢Ā·322.4 sharesĀ·also $218 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $32 Ā· WR 69.6%
O
orkosamš„
Entry 11Ā¢Ā·45.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 Ā· WR 80.9%
G
GoodNightIHope
Entry 9Ā¢Ā·50 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 Ā· WR 92.3%
B
BikesarethebestāProven
Entry 9Ā¢Ā·47.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 Ā· WR 56.1%
J
jq123
Entry 8Ā¢Ā·23.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
ā
āINV $2 Ā· WR 63.9%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 14Ā¢Ā·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 Ā· WR 66.9%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 4Ā¢Ā·1.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 Ā· WR 81.2%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0Ā¢Ā·7.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 Ā· WR 76.3%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$973
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$272(+28.0%)
Whales
27
G
GayPrideš„hedged
Entry 87Ā¢Ā·250 sharesĀ·also $32 on YES
Invested
$218
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $218 Ā· WR 69.6%
N
nullpointaš„
Entry 91Ā¢Ā·160.1 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $146 Ā· WR 87.4%
L
Lucerysš„
Entry 46Ā¢Ā·255.2 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $117 Ā· WR 87.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·124 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $112 Ā· WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·93.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $47 Ā· WR 87.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92Ā¢Ā·40.1 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 Ā· WR 79.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·59.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $30 Ā· WR 79.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 89Ā¢Ā·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 Ā· WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 89Ā¢Ā·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 Ā· WR 88.2%
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·49.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $25 Ā· WR 79.9%
Showing top 10 of 27
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