Politics67 days left
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$15.3K
490 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 122 traders
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $126.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs22 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team79 traders
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-65.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team79 traders
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$145(+12.0%)
Whales
22
S
Spectrum🥇
Entry 94¢·402.2 shares
Invested
$377
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $377 · WR 61.1%
G
Glued🥈
Entry 87¢·200.8 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $175 · WR 56.1%
N
nullpointa🥉
Entry 94¢·151.6 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $143 · WR 87.2%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 92¢·114.2 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $105 · WR 72.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 93¢·70 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $65 · WR 85.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 91¢·60 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $55 · WR 88.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 93¢·54.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $51 · WR 89.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 93¢·51 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $47 · WR 89.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 94¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 · WR 79.5%
B
Bikesarethebest
Entry 92¢·34.5 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $32 · WR 55.9%
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