orkosam · Polymarket wallet 0x9bf8…ccb0

Wallet snapshot

orkosam has made 78 trades on Polymarket across 56 markets, $149 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (52%) and politics (27%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 80.9%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?". Last trade: Sep 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No · $5 · 69¢ → 76¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 78¢ → 83¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Yes · $5 · 17¢ → 18¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Yes · $4 · 11¢ → 9¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes · $4 · 8¢ → 6¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $1 · 69¢ → 95¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No · $1 · 68¢ → 92¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETYes · +$1 · Jul 14, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?No · -$2 · May 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No · -$1 · May 9, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes · -$5 · May 9, 2026
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

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