Geopolitics89 days left
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
10Ā¢
10% implied
NO Price
90Ā¢
90% implied
Volume
$184.5K
2,079 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 252 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS Ā· $1.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratoriumā
10Ā¢+32Ā¢$184.5K22/30a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratoriumā+32Ā¢10Ā¢
$184.5K22/30
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14Ā¢+31Ā¢$210.8K25/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+31Ā¢14Ā¢
$210.8K25/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs30 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars Ā· 10 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $22.1K is directional: YES $5.5KĀ·NO $16.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-60.1%)
Whales
22
V
viniiš„hedged
Entry 94Ā¢Ā·3,815.9 sharesĀ·also $585 on NO
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-3225
$-3225INV $3.6K Ā· WR 65.7%
B
betwickāProvenš„
Entry 15Ā¢Ā·16,468.3 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-944
$-944INV $2.5K Ā· WR 59.8%
D
denizzāProvenš„
Entry 20Ā¢Ā·7,432.4 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-801
$-801INV $1.5K Ā· WR 68.6%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 25Ā¢Ā·4,564.2 sharesĀ·also $250 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-712
$-712INV $1.1K Ā· WR 61.1%
A
apple-piāProven
Entry 30Ā¢Ā·2,505.5 shares
Invested
$752
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-514
$-514INV $752 Ā· WR 66.6%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 16Ā¢Ā·3,353.3 shares
Invested
$523
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-205
$-205INV $523 Ā· WR 68.4%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 15Ā¢Ā·1,400 sharesĀ·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$206
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $206 Ā· WR 66.8%
I
InterestingUserāProven
Entry 10Ā¢Ā·1,724.5 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $172 Ā· WR 63.5%
P
Porx
Entry 28Ā¢Ā·400 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $112 Ā· WR 65.9%
B
badatthis
Entry 14Ā¢Ā·265.9 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $36 Ā· WR 64.1%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.7K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.8K(+31.2%)
Whales
30
V
Valen9š„
Entry 88Ā¢Ā·13,443.8 shares
Invested
$11.8K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$318
+$318INV $11.8K Ā· WR 61.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 86Ā¢Ā·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $1.7K Ā· WR 57.8%
T
Te0n2š„hedged
Entry 81Ā¢Ā·1,400 sharesĀ·also $206 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $1.1K Ā· WR 66.8%
D
dontshowmynameāProven
Entry 75Ā¢Ā·1,122.3 shares
Invested
$846
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $846 Ā· WR 66.1%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·855 shares
Invested
$722
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $722 Ā· WR 62.8%
V
viniihedged
Entry 15Ā¢Ā·4,018.4 sharesĀ·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$585
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$3051
+$3051INV $585 Ā· WR 65.7%
T
Tenebrus7āProven
Entry 87Ā¢Ā·500 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $435 Ā· WR 74.2%
G
ghorrock
Entry 87Ā¢Ā·379.8 shares
Invested
$331
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $331 Ā· WR 60.1%
E
Eia
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·382.4 shares
Invested
$321
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $321 Ā· WR 62.2%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 11Ā¢Ā·2,349.6 sharesĀ·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$250
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1876
+$1876INV $250 Ā· WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 30
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