Geopolitics90 days left
Will a โค5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
14ยข
14% implied
NO Price
86ยข
86% implied
Volume
$212.3K
2,533 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 418 traders ยท 1 on both sides
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS ยท $1.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10ยข+32ยข$184.5K22/30a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+32ยข10ยข
$184.5K22/30
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14ยข+31ยข$210.8K25/31any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+31ยข14ยข
$210.8K25/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs31 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars ยท 11 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%
+1 new YES$2+1 new NO$26
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$30 of $13.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.2KยทNO $10.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-35.1%)
Whales
23
P
paddaa๐ฅhedged
Entry 42ยขยท4,493.6 sharesยทalso $996 on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1238
$-1238INV $1.9K ยท WR 61.1%
D
denizzโProven๐ฅ
Entry 28ยขยท3,615.7 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-486
$-486INV $1.0K ยท WR 68.6%
W
Warren-BuffettโProven๐ฅ
Entry 11ยขยท8,808.6 shares
Invested
$935
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$343
+$343INV $935 ยท WR 65.6%
V
viniihedged
Entry 21ยขยท3,156.8 sharesยทalso $578 on NO
Invested
$654
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $654 ยท WR 65.7%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 31ยขยท500 sharesยทalso $355 on NO
Invested
$155
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $155 ยท WR 66.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 28ยขยท300 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $84 ยท WR 71.7%
P
Porx
Entry 31ยขยท223.6 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $69 ยท WR 65.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 17ยขยท400 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $68 ยท WR 70.6%
R
RockyBrohedged
Entry 41ยขยท119.7 sharesยทalso $72 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $49 ยท WR 55.7%
M
Maximus374โProven
Entry 29ยขยท111.1 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $32 ยท WR 72.9%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.2K(+23.8%)
Whales
31
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 90ยขยท7,180.9 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-348
$-348INV $6.5K ยท WR 57.8%
P
paddaa๐ฅhedged
Entry 25ยขยท4,000.8 sharesยทalso $1.9K on YES
Invested
$996
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$2424
+$2424INV $996 ยท WR 61.1%
T
Tenebrus7โProven๐ฅ
Entry 90ยขยท1,041.8 shares
Invested
$933
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $933 ยท WR 74.2%
E
Eia
Entry 85ยขยท885 shares
Invested
$753
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $753 ยท WR 62.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 39ยขยท1,499.6 sharesยทalso $654 on YES
Invested
$578
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$704
+$704INV $578 ยท WR 65.7%
N
nonkenny90โProven
Entry 73ยขยท666 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $486 ยท WR 90.8%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 83ยขยท500 shares
Invested
$415
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $415 ยท WR 62.8%
F
FishermansFiend
Entry 73ยขยท549.9 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $403 ยท WR 71.6%
N
nedsta
Entry 79ยขยท497.1 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $391 ยท WR 87.9%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 71ยขยท500.2 sharesยทalso $155 on YES
Invested
$355
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $355 ยท WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 31
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