apple-pi · Polymarket wallet 0xaf23…aa95

Wallet snapshot

apple-pi has made 13,520 trades on Polymarket across 705 markets, $3.0M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (55%) and politics (21%). On 670 resolved markets the win rate is 66.6%, lifetime P&L +$19K. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Jul 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $1,728 · 80¢ → 12¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes · $993 · 65¢ → 13¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $925 · 85¢ → 93¢
• Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes · $263 · 30¢ → 11¢
• Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $174 · 39¢ → 88¢
• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No · $141 · 82¢ → 71¢
• Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No · $93 · 91¢ → 93¢
• Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $86 · 54¢ → 86¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $60 · 64¢ → 72¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes · $33 · 54¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes · -$87 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No · +$289 · Sep 1, 2026
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes · -$74 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$244 · Aug 19, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No · +$27 · Aug 14, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes · -$1,362 · Aug 4, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

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