Politics80 days left
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$98.2K
2,536 trades
Smart Whales
73
of 412 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
16 MARKETS · $880.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027
37¢+30¢$2.7K4/2Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027+30¢37¢
$2.7K4/2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027
12¢+28¢$93.1K19/29Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027+28¢12¢
$93.1K19/29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027
20¢+19¢$130.7K38/60Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027+19¢20¢
$130.7K38/60
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027
5¢+26¢$24.3K10/22Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027+26¢5¢
$24.3K10/22
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027
6¢+22¢$13.6K5/13Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027+22¢6¢
$13.6K5/13
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027
11¢+34¢$34.2K9/11Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027+34¢11¢
$34.2K9/11
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027←
15¢+24¢$98.2K29/45Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027←+24¢15¢
$98.2K29/45
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027
16¢+40¢$308.1K50/40Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027+40¢16¢
$308.1K50/40
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027
11¢+3¢$6.4K2/12Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027+3¢11¢
$6.4K2/12
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027
17¢+31¢$58.6K22/24Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027+31¢17¢
$58.6K22/24
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027
29¢+71¢$1371/0Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027+71¢29¢
$1371/0
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027
8¢+39¢$10.1K9/10Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027+39¢8¢
$10.1K9/10
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027
18¢+32¢$2841/1Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027+32¢18¢
$2841/1
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027
19¢−19¢$4690/4Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027−19¢19¢
$4690/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs45 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 26 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $5.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $229·NO $5.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-63.6%)
Whales
29
M
mombil🥇hedged
Entry 130¢·461 shares·also $172 on NO
Invested
$598
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-529
$-529INV $598 · WR 60.4%
C
Chims🥈hedged
Entry 62¢·429 shares·also $191 on NO
Invested
$264
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $264 · WR 85.2%
S
Septen🥉hedged
Entry 67¢·180.1 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$121
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $121 · WR 59.4%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 24¢·365.9 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $89 · WR 60.4%
5
5atka
Entry 41¢·200 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $81 · WR 57.1%
T
TheWolfOfPolyhedged
Entry 56¢·140.9 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$79
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $79 · WR 59.1%
B
Brother357hedged
Entry 60¢·128.6 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $78 · WR 78.4%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 25¢·171.6 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $44 · WR 60.5%
O
oj2048
Entry 59¢·9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 64.3%
T
trytobecomenice
Entry 47¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+36.1%)
Whales
45
J
Jep-G🥇
Entry 61¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$708
+$708INV $1.8K · WR 57.1%
N
nchgbhy◆Proven🥈
Entry 82¢·1,918.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $1.6K · WR 83.3%
C
ChetterHummin🥉
Entry 45¢·1,033 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$413
+$413INV $465 · WR 62.6%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 77¢·387 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $299 · WR 90.9%
A
Aromatic-Carter
Entry 79¢·248 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $197 · WR 57.1%
C
Chimshedged
Entry 44¢·429 shares·also $264 on YES
Invested
$191
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $191 · WR 85.2%
F
Fancy-Snakebite
Entry 59¢·300 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $177 · WR 59.8%
M
mombilhedged
Entry 37¢·461 shares·also $598 on YES
Invested
$172
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $172 · WR 60.4%
T
TheKinginYellow
Entry 74¢·202.9 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $151 · WR 68.6%
D
DirkDiggler67◆Proven
Entry 55¢·214.5 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $119 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 45
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1013ms