Adrbar · Polymarket wallet 0x2213…68b5

Wallet snapshot

Adrbar has made 138 trades on Polymarket across 82 markets, $6,003 in volume. Most of it is in politics (40%) and geopolitics (24%). On 55 resolved markets the win rate is 81.8%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes · $348 · 77¢ → 81¢
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $230 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes · $109 · 92¢ → 88¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes · $107 · 67¢ → 72¢
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · $104 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will PP win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes · $101 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?No · $98 · 93¢ → 99¢
• Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes · $95 · 89¢ → 76¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $88 · 94¢ → 91¢
• Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes · $70 · 82¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · +$0 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes · +$18 · Nov 7, 2026
• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No · +$5 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No · +$20 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$47 · Nov 7, 2026

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