Politics12 days left
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$37.9K
643 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 240 traders · 1 on both sides
New Zealand legislative election winner?
9 MARKETS · $102.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs47 NO
15%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$826+12 new NO$521
$374 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$137 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $629·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$713
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$564(+79.1%)
Whales
8
P
probability🥇hedged
Entry 32¢·1,455.1 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$467
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$457
+$457INV $467 · WR 60.0%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 46¢·350 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $161 · WR 64.6%
H
Hjklm🥉
Entry 45¢·144.2 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $65 · WR 87.7%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 56¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 77.4%
A
aliiz
Entry 36¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 65.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 1¢·30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $0 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 6 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$809(-26.0%)
Whales
47
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 54¢·1,845.1 shares
Invested
$988
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-314
$-314INV $988 · WR 64.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 53¢·836.6 shares
Invested
$442
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $442 · WR 79.3%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 64¢·314 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $201 · WR 86.1%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 59¢·272 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $162 · WR 88.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67¢·171.4 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $115 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 64¢·152 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $97 · WR 85.9%
P
probabilityhedged
Entry 40¢·169.8 shares·also $467 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $68 · WR 60.0%
K
kaxel78
Entry 53¢·117.5 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $62 · WR 86.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 53¢·117.5 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $62 · WR 85.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 40¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $54 · WR 84.4%
Showing top 10 of 47
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