Politics27 days left
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
47ยข
47% implied
NO Price
53ยข
53% implied
Volume
$25.7K
514 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 196 traders
New Zealand legislative election winner?
9 MARKETS ยท $64.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs31 NO
21%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars ยท 6 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%ยท net of hedges
+3 new YES$97+5 new NO$58
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $1.7K is directional: YES $1.1KยทNO $582YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$494(+38.0%)
Whales
8
P
probabilityโProven๐ฅ
Entry 32ยขยท2,932.1 shares
Invested
$937
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$455
+$455INV $937 ยท WR 59.8%
H
Hjklm๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท325.5 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $163 ยท WR 87.8%
1
1walrus๐ฅ
Entry 46ยขยท350 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $161 ยท WR 64.9%
P
PABLOESCOBAR25
Entry 45ยขยท85.6 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $39 ยท WR 61.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 3ยขยท50 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $2 ยท WR 87.7%
A
aliiz
Entry 36ยขยท1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 ยท WR 65.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 1ยขยท30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $0 ยท WR 79.6%
8
0x84f9c0b7...
Entry 0ยขยท10.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 ยท WR 65.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$178(-11.1%)
Whales
31
R
RememberAmalekโProven๐ฅ
Entry 55ยขยท964.3 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $530 ยท WR 64.4%
P
plainfolder๐ฅ
Entry 64ยขยท314 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $201 ยท WR 86.0%
V
VictorLudorum๐ฅ
Entry 59ยขยท272 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $162 ยท WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67ยขยท171.4 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $115 ยท WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 66ยขยท138 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $91 ยท WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 66ยขยท115 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $76 ยท WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 63ยขยท119.4 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $75 ยท WR 72.2%
K
korda77
Entry 55ยขยท72.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $40 ยท WR 85.2%
N
nonono001
Entry 65ยขยท50 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $33 ยท WR 80.8%
B
0xbadaf319...
Entry 64ยขยท50 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $32 ยท WR 67.4%
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