Geopolitics80 days left
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$186.4K
2,113 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 252 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.24M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium←
10¢+35¢$186.4K21/26a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium←+35¢10¢
$186.4K21/26
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14¢+29¢$221.0K23/30any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+29¢14¢
$221.0K23/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs26 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 19 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21.2K is directional: YES $5.4K·NO $15.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-60.2%)
Whales
21
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·3,815.9 shares·also $585 on NO
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-3225
$-3225INV $3.6K · WR 65.8%
B
betwick◆Proven🥈
Entry 15¢·16,468.3 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-944
$-944INV $2.5K · WR 59.8%
D
denizz◆Proven🥉
Entry 20¢·7,432.4 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-801
$-801INV $1.5K · WR 68.6%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 25¢·4,564.2 shares·also $250 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-712
$-712INV $1.1K · WR 61.1%
A
apple-pi◆Proven
Entry 30¢·2,505.5 shares
Invested
$752
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-514
$-514INV $752 · WR 66.6%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 16¢·3,153.3 shares
Invested
$492
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-193
$-193INV $492 · WR 68.2%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 15¢·1,400 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$206
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $206 · WR 66.9%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 10¢·1,724.5 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $172 · WR 63.4%
P
Porx
Entry 28¢·400 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $112 · WR 65.9%
B
badatthis
Entry 14¢·265.9 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $36 · WR 64.0%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.9K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.8K(+32.4%)
Whales
26
V
Valen9🥇
Entry 88¢·13,443.8 shares
Invested
$11.8K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$318
+$318INV $11.8K · WR 61.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 86¢·1,590.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $1.4K · WR 57.7%
T
Te0n2🥉hedged
Entry 81¢·1,400 shares·also $206 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $1.1K · WR 66.9%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 75¢·1,122.3 shares
Invested
$846
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $846 · WR 66.4%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 84¢·855 shares
Invested
$722
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $722 · WR 62.8%
V
viniihedged
Entry 15¢·4,018.4 shares·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$585
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$3051
+$3051INV $585 · WR 65.8%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 87¢·500 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $435 · WR 74.2%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 11¢·2,349.6 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$250
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1876
+$1876INV $250 · WR 61.1%
E
Eia
Entry 90¢·152 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $137 · WR 61.7%
T
TheBud
Entry 79¢·150 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $119 · WR 67.9%
Showing top 10 of 26
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 459ms