Polymarket wallet 0x847c…dffd

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x847c…dffd has made 1,059 trades on Polymarket across 287 markets, $1,915 in volume. Most of it is in sports (54%) and geopolitics (23%). On 268 resolved markets the win rate is 61.9%, lifetime P&L +$52. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran leadership change by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $6 · 65¢ → 90¢
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 87¢ → 94¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · $3 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No · $3 · 44¢ → 93¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No · $2 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $2 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 11¢
• Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 10¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 38¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No · +$0 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 3, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes · -$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.