romanew-3-15 · Polymarket wallet 0x2ab3…07bc

Wallet snapshot

romanew-3-15 has made 20,921 trades on Polymarket across 2,241 markets, $66K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (27%) and geopolitics (24%). On 2,069 resolved markets the win rate is 71.9%, lifetime P&L +$1,320. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes · $5 · 6¢ → 6¢
• Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Yes · $4 · 10¢ → 7¢
• Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes · $3 · 6¢ → 4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 5¢ → 3¢
• Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No · $2 · 10¢ → 5¢
• Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes · $1 · 17¢ → 2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · $0 · 5¢ → 0¢
• Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No · $0 · 40¢ → 98¢
• Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · $0 · 9¢ → 1¢
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · 28¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.