Nautical-Mechanism · Polymarket wallet 0x2559…2032

Wallet snapshot

Nautical-Mechanism has made 837 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $302K in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and geopolitics (19%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$44K. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $5,180 · 13¢ → 13¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $887 · 62¢ → 6¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $328 · 18¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$104 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes · +$100 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$87 · Sep 6, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · +$1,849 · May 30, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$12K · Feb 28, 2026
• Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes · +$110 · Feb 22, 2026
• USDC depeg by December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 4, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$28K · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes · +$2,830 · Dec 30, 2025
• Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes · +$333 · Dec 30, 2025

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